Match Replay

Step 64 of 73. Current minute: 83 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	13	4	9	1	-	1.13	1.75	1.65	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	4	0	4	3	-	-	2.2	2.2	2.12	5.9

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	29	126	2	1.22	1.18	-	-	-	-	2.55	1.52	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +43.7% | EV +87.4% | ROI +98.6% | n=144 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +26.1% | EV +154.0% | ROI +14.7% | n=144 | k=5.90

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +54.6% | ROI +64.5% | n=144 | k=1.65

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.9% | EV +47.1% | ROI +59.7% | n=144 | k=1.75

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute with Sassuolo leading 2-0 against Milan, the market strongly favors the home side, reflecting a 78% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Sassuolo has been more active and dominant in shots, especially in the recent phase, while Milan underperforms compared to their usual level. Historical data supports a high probability (99.3%) that Sassuolo will not lose, with a strong ROI of 98.6% on double chance 1X bets. Although the model shows a significant edge (+43.7%) and expected value (+87.4%) for 1X, the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not fully met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry, with all top-4 markets suggesting watch-only status to control risk effectively.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 83