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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	-	1.9	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.2	1.95	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.5	3.75	2.5	1.5	1.25	1.5	-	-	1.04	13	1.25	4	1.8	2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +12.3% | EV +30.7% | ROI +56.0% | n=2524 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +22.8% | EV +37.7% | ROI +24.5% | n=2524 | k=1.65

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +10.6% | EV +15.9% | ROI +28.3% | n=2524 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.0% | ROI +4.2% | n=2524 | k=2.00

AI-agent: At 5 minutes into the Sassuolo vs Milan match, Sassuolo leads 1-0 and is showing strong market support with odds dropping 44% from pre-match levels. Despite Milan being pre-match favorites, Sassuolo has the upper hand in shots and tempo, indicating home pressure. Historical data for similar situations strongly favors the home team with an 80.5% win rate and a positive ROI of 24.5%, supporting the AH_HOME+1 handicap. The model identifies a promising edge of +22.8% and expected value of +37.7% on AH_HOME+1 at 1.65 odds, but entry conditions are not yet met due to current score and match rhythm. The top markets suggest watching rather than betting now, emphasizing a cautious approach while monitoring the game dynamics closely.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 5