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Italy | Serie A | Sassuolo - Milan | 03.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Sassuolo 2:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 13 4 9 2 - 1.11 1.75 1.65 1.65 -
Away 0 0 0 6 0 6 3 - - 2.2 2.2 2.12 6.6
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.5 4 1.73 2 1.22 1.18 - - - - 5.1 1.17 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | HOME | Edge +67.0% | EV +301.3% | ROI +350.0% | n=135 | k=4.50
2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +43.7% | EV +87.4% | ROI +100.0% | n=135 | k=2.00
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.1% | EV +54.6% | ROI +65.0% | n=135 | k=1.65
4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +23.5% | EV +34.0% | ROI +44.4% | n=135 | k=1.44
AI-agent: At the 90th minute, Sassuolo leads Milan 2-0 with no red cards. The market shows no strong signals or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline accurately. Sassuolo has had more shots and a higher tempo compared to Milan, who are underperforming relative to their usual level. Historical data for a +1.5 away handicap is weak and not supportive, with a negative ROI and a failed validation. Although the model identifies a positive edge for the +1.5 away handicap, the entry window closed after the 86th minute, so no bet is advised now. The top-4 markets suggest watching the home win, double chance home or draw, home +1 handicap, and under 3.5 goals, all with positive expected value but no mandatory bets. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378212 | minute: 90