Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	16	6	10	4	-	1.14	2.85	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	1	5	1	-	-	-	2.75	1.4	5.75

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	29	101	1	1.01	29	-	-	-	-	2.65	1.5	13	1.04

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +48.2% | EV +137.3% | ROI +166.3% | n=79 | k=2.85

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.2% | ROI +2.5% | n=79 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -9.6% | ROI -16.1% | n=79 | k=2.65

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.5% | ROI -41.8% | n=79 | k=5.75

AI-agent: At the 82nd minute, Udinese leads Torino 2-0 in a live Serie A match. Market pressure strongly favors Udinese, with odds dropping 48% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score and match dynamics. Udinese has been more active in shots and overall tempo, consistent with historical data where home teams with a -1 handicap in similar situations have won 100% of the time, showing a strong ROI of 166.3%. The model confirms a positive edge of +48.2% and expected value of +137.3% for the home handicap -1 bet at odds of 2.85. Although no new bet is opened since the position is already covered, this remains the best value play with controlled risk. Other markets like under/over 2.5 goals or away handicap show no betting advantage currently. This is a clear monitoring and value situation favoring Udinese to maintain their lead.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378213 | minute: 82