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Italy | Serie A | Udinese - Torino | 02.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 79'   —   Udinese 2:0 Torino
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 15 6 9 4 - 1.18 2.85 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 6 1 5 1 - - - 2.75 1.4 4.65
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.01 23 81 1 1.01 23 - - - - 2.2 1.7 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +48.0% | EV +136.7% | ROI +163.2% | n=81 | k=2.85
2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.4% | ROI +4.9% | n=81 | k=1.70
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.0% | EV -8.9% | ROI -15.8% | n=81 | k=2.20
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -3.7% | EV -17.3% | ROI -48.3% | n=81 | k=4.65
AI-agent: At the 79th minute, Udinese leads Torino 2-0 in a live Serie A match. Market pressure strongly favors Udinese, with odds dropping 48% from pre-match levels, reflecting their active shot count and control. Historical data supports a home handicap -1 bet with a 98.6% win rate and a high ROI of 163.2%, confirmed by the model's edge of +48% and expected value of +136.7%. Although the position is already held or covered in the portfolio, this remains the best betting opportunity. Other markets like under/over 2.5 goals or away handicap show no value, so monitoring is advised rather than new bets. The current score aligns well with match dynamics, but no sustained pressure is seen recently, suggesting careful risk management.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378213 | minute: 79