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Italy | Serie A | Como - Parma | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 64'   —   Como 1:0 Parma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 19 6 13 11 - 1.68 1.82 - - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 - - - - 2.02 2.15
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.04 13 67 1 1.04 13 - - 1.43 2.75 3 1.38 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.8% | EV +28.8% | ROI +20.7% | n=87 | k=1.82
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +17.6% | EV +37.9% | ROI +31.0% | n=87 | k=2.15
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -4.8% | EV -13.3% | ROI +29.6% | n=87 | k=2.75
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.7% | EV -6.4% | ROI +9.1% | n=87 | k=1.38
AI-agent: At the 64th minute, Como leads 1-0 and controls the game, supported by shot dominance. TOP-4 highlights the AH_HOME-1 market at odds 1.82, with historical validation over 87 matches showing a 20.7% ROI and 77.3% win probability. The model edge is +15.8% with an EV of +28.8%, but no new bet is opened since the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch; the market should stay on watch awaiting confirmation of tempo and home pressure in the closing stages.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378226 | minute: 64