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Italy | Serie A | Como - Parma | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 73'   —   Como 1:0 Parma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 21 6 15 13 - 2.38 1.12 - - -
Away 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 - - - - 6 1.55
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.04 13 101 1.01 1.04 13 - - 2.02 1.82 7 1.1 23 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +13.0% | EV +20.1% | ROI +18.3% | n=78 | k=1.55
2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.0% | EV +2.0% | ROI -18.2% | n=78 | k=2.02
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -5.2% | EV -9.4% | ROI +9.1% | n=78 | k=1.82
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -19.6% | EV -46.5% | ROI -30.0% | n=78 | k=2.38
AI-agent: At the 73rd minute, Como leads 1:0 with a balanced game and no clear pressure from either side. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.55, with historical validation showing an 18.3% ROI over 78 matches. The model edge is +13.0% and EV +20.1%, but entry is not confirmed given the current score and tempo. This market should stay on watch, awaiting further tempo and shot activity to consider a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378226 | minute: 73