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Italy | Serie A | Como - Parma | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 82'   —   Como 1:0 Parma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 21 6 15 13 - 2.75 1.12 - - -
Away 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 - - - - 6 1.43
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.03 13 151 1.01 1.04 13 - - 2.35 1.62 10 1.06 23 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.6% | EV +15.1% | ROI +18.4% | n=65 | k=1.42
2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +2.9% | ROI -34.9% | n=65 | k=2.35
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -5.3% | EV -8.6% | ROI +17.5% | n=65 | k=1.62
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -17.1% | EV -47.0% | ROI -53.5% | n=65 | k=2.75
AI-agent: At the 82nd minute, Como leads 1:0 with the home side controlling the game, though Parma is increasing pressure in the final phase. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.43, with historical validation showing an 18.4% ROI over 65 matches; the model edge is +10.6% and EV +15.1%. However, the entry condition is not met yet due to the current score and tempo, so the status is Watch, not Bet. Monitoring changes in tempo and match statistics is advised to reconsider the betting opportunity.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378226 | minute: 82