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Italy | Serie A | Como - Parma | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 86'   —   Como 1:0 Parma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 22 6 16 13 - 3.55 1.14 - - -
Away 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 - - - - 5.75 1.27
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.03 15 251 1.01 1.04 13 - - 3 1.4 17 1.02 23 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +3.3% | ROI -40.0% | n=60 | k=3.00
2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -5.9% | EV -8.2% | ROI +12.0% | n=60 | k=1.40
3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -12.9% | EV -45.9% | ROI -52.7% | n=60 | k=3.55
AI-agent: At the 86th minute, Como leads 1:0 with a balanced game and no clear pressure from either side. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds of 17.00 with a model edge of +7.5%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -71.7%, which does not support a bet. The model sees potential, yet the entry rule is not confirmed given the current score and tempo, so the status is Watch. Confirmation requires increased pressure, changes in match stats, or odds movement.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378226 | minute: 86