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Italy | Serie A | Como - Parma | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 89'   —   Como 1:0 Parma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 23 7 16 15 - 4.4 1.23 - - -
Away 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 - - - - 4.1 1.2
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.03 13 201 1.01 1.07 9 - - 3.5 1.3 21 1.01 23 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +3.2% | ROI -38.6% | n=57 | k=3.50
2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -6.4% | EV -8.3% | ROI +7.2% | n=57 | k=1.30
3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -10.1% | EV -44.2% | ROI -53.7% | n=57 | k=4.40
AI-agent: At the 89th minute, Como lead 1:0 against Parma with no clear dominance from either side and balanced pressure in recent minutes. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.20, with historical validation showing a 7.4% ROI over 57 matches; the model edge is +4.0% and EV +4.8%. However, the entry window for this bet closed after the 86th minute, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. A bet would require an earlier entry point or stronger pressure and scoring chances in the remaining time.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378226 | minute: 89