Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	3.3	1.45	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.67	1.32	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	3.4	1.83	1.83	1.3	1.18	1.1	7	1.48	2.6	2.42	1.52	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +2.0% | ROI -4.8% | n=316 | k=2.42

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.0% | EV -2.7% | ROI +9.4% | n=316 | k=2.67

3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.5% | ROI -6.2% | n=316 | k=1.48

4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.6% | ROI -23.6% | n=316 | k=3.40

AI-agent: At the 15th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds 2.42, where the model edge is modest at +0.8% and expected value +2.0%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -4.8%, indicating weak support. The model edge is below the entry threshold of +3.0%, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation from stronger tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 15