Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	3.1	1.43	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.75	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	3.25	1.83	1.83	1.33	1.18	1.11	6.5	1.52	2.42	2.6	1.48	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +2.9% | ROI -0.8% | n=291 | k=2.60

2) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.7% | ROI -6.2% | n=291 | k=1.52

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.4% | EV -3.8% | ROI +10.1% | n=291 | k=2.75

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -5.2% | EV -6.9% | ROI +3.5% | n=291 | k=1.33

AI-agent: At the 18th minute, the Genoa vs Milan match is goalless with balanced gameplay and no clear dominance from either side. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds of 2.60, where the model edge is a modest +1.1% with an expected value of +2.9%, but historical validation shows a weak ROI of -0.8%, not supporting a reliable profit. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as the model edge is below the +3.0% entry threshold. Confirmation through increased tempo, more shots, or odds movement is needed before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 18