Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	3	1.4	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.85	1.38	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	3.2	1.91	1.8	1.33	1.2	1.11	6.5	1.55	2.38	2.67	1.45	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +3.0% | ROI -0.3% | n=279 | k=2.67

2) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.4% | ROI -6.7% | n=279 | k=1.55

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.6% | EV -4.4% | ROI +10.6% | n=279 | k=2.85

4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -0.3% | EV -1.0% | ROI -26.6% | n=279 | k=3.20

AI-agent: At the 20th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the Over 2.5 goals market at odds 2.67, where the model shows a slight edge of +1.1% and EV of +3.0%, but historical validation with ROI -0.3% does not support a bet. The model edge is below the entry threshold of +3.0%, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Further confirmation on tempo, shots, and odds movement is needed before entering.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 20