Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.62	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.25	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
5	3.75	1.7	2	1.25	1.17	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.7	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +1.5% | ROI NA | n=NA | k=2.10

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.0% | ROI NA | n=NA | k=1.36

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.1% | EV -2.5% | ROI NA | n=NA | k=2.25

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.9% | EV -7.9% | ROI NA | n=NA | k=1.62

AI-agent: At the 1st minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds 2.10, where the model edge is a slight +0.7% and expected value +1.5%, but this is below the +3.0% entry threshold. Historical validation for this market is weak, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Further confirmation through stronger pressure or shot statistics is needed before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 1