Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	0	3	0	-	-	-	2.67	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	3.3	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	2.88	2.1	1.67	1.36	1.22	1.17	5	1.73	2.08	3.4	1.33	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.8% | EV +6.0% | ROI +1.9% | n=227 | k=3.40

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.0% | ROI -7.3% | n=227 | k=1.73

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.5% | EV -8.3% | ROI +10.8% | n=227 | k=3.30

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -6.8% | EV -14.0% | ROI -4.0% | n=227 | k=2.08

AI-agent: At the 28th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with a balanced game and slight recent pressure from the home side. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds 3.40, with historical validation showing a 1.9% ROI over 227 matches. The model edge is +1.8% and EV +6.0%, but this is below the +3.0% entry threshold, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation of stronger tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before placing a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 28