Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.67	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	3.3	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4	2.88	2.1	1.67	1.36	1.22	1.2	4.5	1.85	2	3.75	1.28	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.9% | EV +3.5% | ROI -2.9% | n=219 | k=1.85

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +6.4% | ROI +6.2% | n=219 | k=3.75

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.6% | EV -12.0% | ROI +6.9% | n=219 | k=3.30

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -6.0% | EV -11.9% | ROI -5.0% | n=219 | k=2.00

AI-agent: At the 30th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and a slight tempo advantage for the home side. TOP-4 highlights the over 1.5 goals market at odds 1.85, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -2.9% with a 52.5% chance, which does not support a bet. The model edge is +1.9% and EV +3.5%, below the entry threshold of +3.0%, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation is needed through increased tempo, shots, or odds movement to consider a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 30