Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.75	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	3.3	1.43	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	2.6	2.25	1.57	1.44	1.2	1.28	3.75	2.15	1.68	4.5	1.2	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +2.7% | ROI -5.3% | n=168 | k=2.15

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.3% | EV +4.4% | ROI -3.8% | n=168 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +6.0% | ROI -8.9% | n=168 | k=4.50

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.6% | ROI +23.2% | n=168 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At the 41st minute, the Genoa vs Milan match is goalless with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the home handicap +1 market at odds 1.32, with the model showing a slight edge of +3.3% and an expected value of +4.4%, but historical validation is weak due to negative ROI (-3.8%). The entry rule is not confirmed by the current score and match dynamics, so the current status is Watch. Confirmation through increased tempo, pressure, or odds movement is needed before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 41