Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.75	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	3.3	1.43	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	2.5	2.25	1.57	1.5	1.18	1.3	3.5	2.25	1.62	5	1.17	13	1.04

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.5% | EV +3.3% | ROI -8.0% | n=154 | k=2.25

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.8% | EV +6.4% | ROI -3.2% | n=154 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +6.1% | ROI -15.6% | n=154 | k=5.00

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.5% | EV -3.5% | ROI +21.3% | n=154 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At the 44th minute, the Genoa vs Milan match is goalless with balanced game control. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at odds 1.32, with the model showing an edge of +4.8% and EV +6.4%, but historical validation reveals a negative ROI of -3.2%, which does not support a bet. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as entry conditions based on score, tempo, and stats are not met. Confirmation through clearer game pressure or odds movement is needed before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 44