Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.65	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.2	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
5	3.75	1.67	2.1	1.25	1.17	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.7	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.6% | ROI +0.7% | n=440 | k=2.10

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +0.6% | ROI -2.4% | n=440 | k=1.36

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.2% | EV -4.9% | ROI -4.3% | n=440 | k=2.20

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.8% | EV -6.3% | ROI -4.0% | n=440 | k=1.65

AI-agent: At the 3rd minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds 2.10, supported by historical validation on 440 matches with a ROI of +0.7%. The model edge is +0.8%, below the entry threshold of +3.0%, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation is needed through increased tempo, shot pressure, or a stronger model edge before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 3