Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	3.1	2.6	1.55
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	2.38	1.48	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
19	5.5	1.22	4	1.14	1.02	-	-	1.33	3.4	2.5	1.5	6	1.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.9% | EV +3.0% | ROI NA | n=133 | k=1.55

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.0% | EV +2.6% | ROI -2.1% | n=133 | k=2.60

3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +2.4% | ROI -21.4% | n=133 | k=2.50

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.0% | EV -0.1% | ROI -8.8% | n=133 | k=1.33

AI-agent: At the 49th minute, the score is 0:1 to Milan with balanced play and no clear shot dominance. TOP-4 highlights the home handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.55, with the model showing a slight edge of +1.9% and EV +3.0%, but historical validation is weak and ROI is undefined. The entry rule is not met given the current score and tempo, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation is needed through stronger pressure, statistical shifts, or odds movement before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 49