Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	1.5
Away	1	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	2.5	1.5	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
19	5.5	1.22	4	1.14	1.02	-	-	1.38	3	2.75	1.43	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.7% | ROI -9.0% | n=94 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +3.0% | ROI -9.3% | n=94 | k=2.75

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.2% | ROI -9.0% | n=94 | k=2.50

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.1% | ROI -0.5% | n=94 | k=1.38

AI-agent: At the 53rd minute in the Genoa vs Milan match with a 0:1 score, the game is balanced without clear dominance in shots or tempo, though the visitors have pressured recently. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at 2.75 odds, with the model showing a slight edge of +1.1% and EV of +3.0%, but historical validation reveals a negative ROI of -9.3%, below the entry threshold. The current status is Watch, not Bet; this market should stay on watch awaiting confirmation from tempo, shots, or odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 53