Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	1.48
Away	1	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	2.6	1.5	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
21	5.5	1.2	4.33	1.14	1.01	-	-	1.43	2.75	3	1.38	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.0% | EV +2.4% | ROI -6.7% | n=97 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +3.9% | ROI -16.5% | n=97 | k=3.00

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.3% | EV +1.9% | ROI -5.7% | n=97 | k=1.48

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.1% | ROI -4.5% | n=97 | k=1.42

AI-agent: At the 56th minute in Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:1 with no clear game dominance, though the visitors have pressured recently without clear shot confirmation. TOP-4 highlights the home handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.48, with a model edge of +1.3% and EV +1.9%, but historical validation is negative with ROI -5.7%, below the entry threshold. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation in tempo and pressure before considering a wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 56