Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	0	5	0	-	-	-	3.1	2.6	1.43
Away	1	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	2.75	1.48	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
29	6	1.17	5	1.12	1.01	-	-	1.6	2.3	4	1.25	13	1.04

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.9% | EV +15.3% | ROI -9.9% | n=93 | k=2.60

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.0% | EV +7.1% | ROI -3.5% | n=93 | k=1.42

3) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.5% | ROI -7.1% | n=93 | k=1.60

4) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.5% | EV +6.1% | ROI -5.4% | n=93 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At the 64th minute in Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:1. The away team is gaining market support with the home +1 handicap odds dropping, but shots and tempo do not show clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the AH_HOME+1 market at odds 2.60, with a model edge of +5.9% and EV +15.3%, yet historical validation shows a negative ROI of -9.9%, below the entry threshold. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation from tempo and match statistics before placing a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 64