Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	0	5	0	-	-	-	3.1	2.5	1.35
Away	1	0	0	3	2	1	1	-	3.1	1.5	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
34	6	1.14	5.5	1.12	1	-	-	1.82	2.02	5.5	1.14	17	1.02

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.4% | EV +18.5% | ROI -5.3% | n=85 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.8% | EV +3.3% | ROI -1.2% | n=85 | k=1.82

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.3% | EV +5.8% | ROI -3.1% | n=85 | k=1.35

4) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +6.4% | ROI +3.5% | n=85 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At the 67th minute in Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:1. The away side is gaining market support with odds dropping 12% from pre-match, but there is no clear dominance in shots or tempo. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap at 2.50 odds, with the model showing a +7.4% edge and +18.5% EV, yet historical validation is weak (ROI -5.3%) and the entry conditions based on current score and tempo are not met. The current status is Watch, not Bet; this market should stay on watch until clearer pressure or statistical shifts emerge.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 67