Match Replay

Step 58 of 78. Current minute: 73 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	0	5	0	-	-	-	3.1	2.42	1.3
Away	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	3.45	1.52	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
41	6	1.12	6	1.12	1	-	-	2.1	1.77	8	1.08	26	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +13.1% | EV +31.8% | ROI -7.4% | n=78 | k=2.42

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.2% | EV +4.6% | ROI -8.5% | n=78 | k=2.10

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.9% | EV +8.9% | ROI -3.3% | n=78 | k=1.30

4) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.6% | EV +15.7% | ROI -23.1% | n=78 | k=6.00

AI-agent: At the 73rd minute, Genoa vs Milan stands at 0:1 with Milan leading but no clear game dominance or sustained pressure. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at odds 2.42, where the model edge is +13.1% and EV +31.8%, yet historical validation shows a negative ROI of -7.4%, which does not support a bet. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as the entry condition based on score and tempo is not met. More clear confirmation from tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed to consider a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 73