Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	0	7	1	-	-	-	3.1	2.4	1.26
Away	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	3.7	1.6	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
41	6	1.14	5.5	1.12	1	-	-	2.2	1.7	9	1.07	26	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +18.7% | EV +45.0% | ROI -4.0% | n=75 | k=2.40

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +4.7% | ROI -14.9% | n=75 | k=2.20

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.3% | EV +7.2% | ROI -26.7% | n=75 | k=5.50

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -6.4% | EV -10.9% | ROI +4.3% | n=75 | k=1.70

AI-agent: At the 76th minute in Genoa vs Milan with a 0:1 score, the away side is gaining ground as the odds for home AH+1 have dropped 12% from pre-match levels. There is no clear shot dominance and the tempo is below the previous meeting. TOP-4 highlights AH_HOME+1 at 2.40 odds with a model edge of +18.7% and EV +45.0%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -4.0%, not supporting a bet. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation from tempo, match stats, and score to open a position.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 76