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Match Replay

Step 62 of 78. Current minute: 79 .
Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Milan | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 79'   —   Genoa 0:1 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 7 0 7 1 - - - 3.1 2.35 1.24
Away 1 0 0 4 2 2 1 - 3.9 1.62 1.35 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
51 6 1.12 6 1.12 1 - - 2.35 1.62 11 1.05 26 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.9% | EV +56.1% | ROI -10.0% | n=69 | k=2.35
2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.3% | EV +5.3% | ROI -25.1% | n=69 | k=2.35
3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.6% | EV +15.6% | ROI -47.8% | n=69 | k=6.00
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -6.4% | EV -10.3% | ROI +10.7% | n=69 | k=1.62
AI-agent: At the 79th minute in Genoa vs Milan with a 0:1 score, the market highlights the home +1 handicap at 2.35 odds with a model edge of +23.9% and expected value of +56.1%. However, historical validation is weak with a -10% ROI, and the current game state and tempo do not confirm the entry. This market should stay on watch, awaiting confirmation from tempo, shots, and odds movement.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 79