Match Replay

Step 69 of 78. Current minute: 86 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	10	1	9	3	-	-	-	3.1	2.35	1.16
Away	2	0	0	5	3	2	1	-	5.25	1.62	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
81	7.5	1.08	7.5	1.08	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	3.1	1.38

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.0% | EV +58.7% | ROI -83.3% | n=48 | k=2.35

2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -6.6% | EV -9.1% | ROI -1.3% | n=48 | k=1.38

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -29.1% | EV -47.2% | ROI +54.2% | n=48 | k=1.62

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -11.3% | EV -59.2% | ROI -6.2% | n=48 | k=5.25

AI-agent: At the 86th minute, the score is 1:2 for Milan, but there is no clear dominance in play, with the home team more active in recent minutes. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at odds 2.35, with the model showing a +25% edge and +58.7% EV, yet historical validation is very weak (ROI -83.3%). The bet entry is not confirmed by current tempo and stats, so the status is Watch. Confirmation requires clear home dominance in tempo and shots or favorable odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 86