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Match Replay

Step 8 of 78. Current minute: 9 .
Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Milan | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 9'   —   Genoa 0:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - 1.57 -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 2.35 - - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.75 3.6 1.73 2 1.25 1.17 1.08 8 1.4 3 2.2 1.65 4.33 1.22
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.0% | EV +2.1% | ROI -4.1% | n=367 | k=2.20
2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.2% | ROI -5.0% | n=367 | k=1.40
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.3% | EV -5.5% | ROI +1.6% | n=367 | k=2.35
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.7% | EV -5.8% | ROI -7.9% | n=367 | k=1.57
AI-agent: At the 9th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds 2.20, where the model edge is modest at +1.0% with EV +2.1%, but historical validation shows a negative ROI of -4.1%, indicating weak profitability. The model edge is below the entry threshold of +3.0%, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation such as increased tempo, pressure, or odds movement is needed before considering a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 9