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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	3.3	1.45	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.67	1.32	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	3.25	1.83	1.83	1.33	1.18	1.11	6.5	1.5	2.5	2.5	1.5	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +2.4% | ROI -3.9% | n=307 | k=2.50

2) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.7% | ROI -5.7% | n=307 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.7% | EV -4.5% | ROI +7.1% | n=307 | k=2.67

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -5.2% | EV -6.9% | ROI +3.3% | n=307 | k=1.33

AI-agent: At the 16th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds 2.50, where the model edge is modest at +0.9% with an expected value of +2.4%, but historical validation is weak with a -3.9% ROI. The model edge is below the entry threshold of +3.0%, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Further confirmation from tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before considering a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 16