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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.85	1.35	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	3.1	1.4	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	3.1	2	1.73	1.33	1.2	1.14	5.5	1.62	2.25	3	1.4	6	1.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +5.1% | ROI +2.3% | n=261 | k=3.00

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.6% | ROI -6.0% | n=261 | k=1.62

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.3% | ROI -27.5% | n=261 | k=3.10

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.8% | ROI +14.1% | n=261 | k=3.10

AI-agent: At the 23rd minute, the Genoa vs Milan match is scoreless with balanced game control. TOP-4 highlights the Over 2.5 goals market at odds 3.00, with historical validation showing a 2.3% ROI over 261 matches. The model edge is +1.7% and EV +5.1%, but this is below the +3.0% entry threshold, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Further confirmation from increased tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before placing a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 23