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Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Milan | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 26'   —   Genoa 0:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 - - - 2.67 1.32 -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 3.3 1.45 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4 3 2.1 1.67 1.36 1.22 1.14 5.5 1.68 2.15 3.2 1.36 6.5 1.11
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +5.5% | ROI +2.3% | n=244 | k=3.20
2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.7% | ROI -6.6% | n=244 | k=1.68
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.0% | ROI -28.7% | n=244 | k=3.00
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.1% | EV -3.8% | ROI +14.8% | n=244 | k=3.30
AI-agent: At the 26th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance in shots or tempo. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds 3.20, with historical validation showing a positive 2.3% ROI from 244 matches. The model edge is +1.7% and EV +5.5%, but this is below the +3.0% entry threshold, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Further confirmation from stronger model confidence or increased tempo and pressure is needed to open a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 26