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Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Milan | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 29'   —   Genoa 0:0 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 3 0 3 0 - - - 2.67 1.32 -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - 3.3 1.45 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4 2.88 2.1 1.67 1.36 1.22 1.17 5 1.82 2.02 3.5 1.3 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.8% | EV +3.3% | ROI -3.0% | n=224 | k=1.82
2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.5% | EV +5.1% | ROI +1.6% | n=224 | k=3.50
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.9% | EV -9.6% | ROI +7.9% | n=224 | k=3.30
4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -6.0% | EV -12.1% | ROI -5.1% | n=224 | k=2.02
AI-agent: At the 29th minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with a balanced game and slight home activity advantage. TOP-4 highlights the over 1.5 goals market at odds 1.82, where the model edge is +1.8% and EV +3.3%, but historical validation with ROI -3.0% does not support a bet. The model edge is below the entry threshold of +3.0%, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. More model confidence or confirmation from tempo and offensive pressure is needed to open a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 29