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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.67	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	3.3	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	2.62	2.25	1.57	1.44	1.2	1.25	4	2.1	1.7	4.5	1.2	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +2.4% | ROI -3.9% | n=177 | k=2.10

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.3% | EV +6.0% | ROI +1.7% | n=177 | k=4.50

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.3% | EV +3.1% | ROI -4.0% | n=177 | k=1.32

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.0% | EV -2.3% | ROI +23.3% | n=177 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At the 39th minute, Genoa vs Milan remains 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance in shots or pressure. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap market at odds 1.32, where the model edge is +2.3% and EV +3.1%, but still below the +3.0% entry threshold. Historical validation is weak with a -4.0% ROI, so no bet is opened. The current status is Watch, the market should stay on watch awaiting clearer game dynamics and odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 39