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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.75	1.32	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	3.3	1.43	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	2.6	2.25	1.57	1.44	1.2	1.28	3.75	2.2	1.65	5	1.17	13	1.04

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.4% | EV +3.1% | ROI -4.9% | n=162 | k=2.20

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.3% | EV +5.6% | ROI -4.5% | n=162 | k=1.32

3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +6.1% | ROI -4.3% | n=162 | k=5.00

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -1.2% | EV -2.6% | ROI +23.6% | n=162 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At the 43rd minute of Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:0 with balanced play and no clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the home handicap +1 market at odds 1.32, with the model edge at +4.3% and EV +5.6%, but historical validation is weak with ROI -4.5%, below the entry threshold. The current status is Watch, not Bet, since the expert entry condition is not met given the score, tempo, and match stats. Confirmation through increased tempo, pressure, or odds movement is needed before placing a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 43