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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	3.1	2.67	1.55
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	2.38	1.45	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
21	5.5	1.2	4.33	1.14	1.01	-	-	1.38	3	2.75	1.43	7	1.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.5% | EV +3.8% | ROI NA | n=133 | k=1.55

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.0% | EV +5.2% | ROI -2.1% | n=133 | k=2.67

3) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +3.0% | ROI -21.4% | n=133 | k=2.75

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.1% | ROI -8.8% | n=133 | k=1.38

AI-agent: At the 49th minute, Genoa vs Milan stands at 0:1 with balanced play and no clear dominance in shots or tempo. TOP-4 highlights the home +1.5 handicap market at odds 1.55, with a modest model edge of +2.5% and EV +3.8%, but historical validation is weak and ROI undefined. The entry rule is not confirmed by the current score and match flow, so the status is Watch. Confirmation from tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before placing a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 49