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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	0	5	0	-	-	-	3.1	2.6	1.32
Away	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	3.3	1.48	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
41	6	1.12	6	1.12	1	-	-	2	1.85	6.5	1.11	23	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.8% | EV +30.7% | ROI -3.4% | n=82 | k=2.60

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +4.2% | ROI +0.0% | n=82 | k=2.00

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.6% | EV +15.7% | ROI -12.2% | n=82 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.5% | EV +7.2% | ROI -3.0% | n=82 | k=1.32

AI-agent: At the 70th minute in Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:1. The market favors the away side, with the home +1 handicap odds dropping to 2.60; the model shows an edge of +11.8% and EV of +30.7%, but historical validation is weak with a -3.4% ROI. There is no clear dominance in play, tempo is below the previous meeting, and shot pressure is insufficient. This market should stay on watch as the bet is not opened due to lack of confirmation from the current score and match stats.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 70