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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	0	8	1	-	-	-	3.1	2.3	1.21
Away	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	4.25	1.65	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	6.5	1.12	6	1.11	1	-	-	2.5	1.55	13	1.04	26	1.01

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.3% | EV +58.3% | ROI -11.0% | n=68 | k=2.30

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.1% | EV +5.4% | ROI -26.5% | n=68 | k=2.50

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.6% | EV +9.6% | ROI -55.9% | n=68 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -6.7% | EV -10.3% | ROI +9.4% | n=68 | k=1.55

AI-agent: At the 81st minute in Genoa vs Milan, the score is 0:1. The away side is gaining market support with odds dropping 23% from pre-match, but shots and tempo do not confirm clear dominance. TOP-4 highlights the home +1 handicap at 2.30 odds, with the model edge at +25.3% and EV +58.3%, yet historical validation shows a negative ROI of -11.0%, which does not support a bet. The current status is Watch, not Bet, as confirmation on tempo, stats, and score is still needed to enter.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 81