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Italy | Serie A | Genoa - Milan | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Genoa 1:2 Milan
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 11 2 9 3 - - - 3.1 2.15 1.1
Away 2 0 0 5 3 2 1 - 6.8 1.73 1.35 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
126 9 1.07 8 1.08 1 - - - - - - 3.9 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.9% | EV +20.5% | ROI +11.3% | n=36 | k=1.73
2) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -16.4% | EV -35.2% | ROI -16.2% | n=36 | k=2.15
AI-agent: At the 90th minute, the score is 1:2 in favor of Milan with no red cards. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap -1 market at odds 1.73, with historical validation showing an 11.3% ROI over 36 matches. The model edge is +11.9% and EV +20.5%, but the entry window for the more favorable -1.5 handicap closed after the 86th minute. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation of away team pressure and activity before placing a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378227 | minute: 90