Match Replay

Step 36 of 74. Current minute: 43 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	1	4	4	-	2.75	2.1	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	2	-	-	-	-	1.7	1.43

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.57	3.4	7.5	1.08	1.3	2.25	1.14	5.5	1.7	2.1	3.2	1.36	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.3% | EV +19.6% | ROI -3.1% | n=96 | k=2.10

2) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +6.0% | EV +19.2% | ROI +0.0% | n=96 | k=3.20

3) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +7.2% | EV +12.3% | ROI -9.7% | n=96 | k=1.70

4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +3.6% | EV +4.6% | ROI -2.5% | n=96 | k=1.30

AI-agent: At the 43rd minute, the score is 0:0 with the guests controlling the game and applying pressure. TOP-4 highlights the home -1 handicap market at odds 2.10, with the model edge at +9.3% and EV +19.6%, but historical validation is weak showing ROI -3.1% and a 45.5% win probability. The entry rule is not met due to the current score and tempo, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation of stronger home dominance or a shift in game tempo and stats is needed to consider a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378228 | minute: 43