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Italy | Serie A | Inter - Verona | 17.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 79'   —   Inter 1:0 Verona
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 14 5 9 10 - 2.75 1.25 - - -
Away 0 0 0 7 2 5 2 - - - - 3.8 1.43
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.07 9 67 1 1.07 9 - - 2.1 1.77 8 1.08 26 1.01
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +9.5% | EV +19.9% | ROI -21.9% | n=43 | k=2.10
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.6% | EV +10.0% | ROI -23.3% | n=43 | k=2.75
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -13.4% | EV -23.8% | ROI +11.5% | n=43 | k=1.77
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -10.2% | EV -14.5% | ROI +2.7% | n=43 | k=1.42
AI-agent: At the 79th minute, Inter leads 1:0 with a balanced game and no clear dominance from either side. TOP-4 highlights the home handicap -1 market at odds 1.25, with historical validation showing a 2.3% ROI over 43 matches and an 85.7% win probability. The model edge is +4.0% with an EV of +5.0%, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet; confirmation requires sustained pressure or odds movement.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378228 | minute: 79