Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	2	3	1	-	2.42	1.85	1.65	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	0	2	0	-	-	-	2.2	2	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.25	3.5	3	1.36	1.28	1.57	-	-	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.8% | EV +65.6% | ROI +28.2% | n=124 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +19.9% | EV +30.3% | ROI +18.1% | n=124 | k=1.52

3) Watch | AWAY | Edge +3.5% | EV +10.6% | ROI +46.8% | n=124 | k=3.00

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +6.2% | EV +9.8% | ROI +27.0% | n=124 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At the 33rd minute of Juventus vs Fiorentina, the score is 0:1 with the away side gaining market support as the odds on AH +1 have dropped 51% from pre-match. The home team leads in shots and control, but historical validation shows a strong ROI of 28.2% on AH +1 at odds 2.00 from 124 similar matches. The model edge is +32.8% with EV +65.6%, yet the entry rule is not met due to the current score and tempo, so the status is Watch. We monitor tempo, shots, and odds movement for confirmation before betting.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378229 | minute: 33