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Match Replay

Step 30 of 78. Current minute: 38 .
Italy | Serie A | Juventus - Fiorentina | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 38'   —   Juventus 0:1 Fiorentina
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 5 2 3 1 - 2.42 1.85 1.55 - -
Away 1 0 0 3 1 2 0 - - - 2.38 2 1.52
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.1 3.5 3.25 1.33 1.28 1.67 - - 1.08 8 1.4 3 2.2 1.67
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.4% | EV +70.8% | ROI +47.2% | n=36 | k=2.00
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +22.9% | EV +34.9% | ROI +22.8% | n=36 | k=1.52
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.5% | EV +12.5% | ROI +11.1% | n=36 | k=1.67
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +4.7% | EV +16.3% | ROI +6.9% | n=36 | k=3.50
AI-agent: At the 38th minute of Juventus vs Fiorentina, the score is 0:1 with the away team leading, but the home side controls the shots and applies pressure. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1 market at odds 2.00, with historical validation showing a 47.2% ROI over 36 matches. The model edge is +35.4% and EV +70.8%, yet the entry rule is not triggered due to the current score and tempo, so the current status is Watch, not Bet. Further confirmation on tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed to open a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378229 | minute: 38