Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	2	4	2	-	2.42	1.85	1.6	-	-
Away	1	0	0	3	1	2	0	-	-	-	2.3	2	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.2	3.4	3.25	1.33	1.3	1.61	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.5	2.62	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +37.8% | EV +75.6% | ROI +61.1% | n=36 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +24.9% | EV +37.9% | ROI +39.8% | n=36 | k=1.52

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +6.9% | EV +11.1% | ROI +12.2% | n=36 | k=1.61

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.0% | EV +16.9% | ROI +13.3% | n=36 | k=3.40

AI-agent: At the 44th minute of Juventus vs Fiorentina, the score is 0:1 with the away team leading, although the home side has more shots. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1 market at odds 2.00, with historical validation over 36 matches showing a 61.1% ROI; the model edge is +37.8% and EV +75.6%. However, the current status is Watch, not Bet, because entry conditions on tempo and match stats are not met yet. A clearer dominance by the away team or a shift in match dynamics is needed to open a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378229 | minute: 44