Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	3	5	2	-	2.42	1.85	1.68	-	-
Away	1	0	0	4	1	3	0	-	-	-	2.15	2	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.38	3.2	3	1.36	1.33	1.53	-	-	1.12	6	1.6	2.3	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +37.6% | EV +75.2% | ROI +64.9% | n=37 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +24.3% | EV +37.0% | ROI +40.1% | n=37 | k=1.52

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +6.7% | EV +10.2% | ROI +11.9% | n=37 | k=1.53

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +4.3% | EV +13.8% | ROI +12.4% | n=37 | k=3.20

AI-agent: At the 45th minute of Juventus vs Fiorentina, the score is 0:1 with the away team leading, although the home side is more active in shots. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1 market at odds 2.00, with historical validation showing a 64.9% ROI over 37 matches. The model edge is +37.6% and EV +75.2%, but the entry condition is not met given the current score and tempo, so the status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation is needed through clearer control and pressure by the away team or odds movement to open a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378229 | minute: 45