Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	19	7	12	6	-	2.42	3.3	4.4	1.12	2.38
Away	2	0	0	9	3	6	1	-	1.55	6.25	1.2	1.32	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
34	11	1.05	10	1.05	1	-	-	-	-	1.93	1.93	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +36.6% | EV +87.0% | ROI NA | n=17 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.4% | EV +41.9% | ROI +52.5% | n=17 | k=1.52

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.9% | EV +22.4% | ROI +28.7% | n=17 | k=1.32

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.4% | EV +2.7% | ROI +0.6% | n=17 | k=1.92

AI-agent: At the 81st minute of Juventus vs Fiorentina, the score is 0:2 with the away side gaining market support, their odds dropping 84% from pre-match. The home team leads in shots but lacks sustained pressure, not reflecting the scoreline. TOP-4 highlights the home +1.5 Asian Handicap at 2.38 odds, with a model edge of +36.6% and EV of +87.0%, yet historical validation is weak due to a small sample and entry conditions based on match flow are unmet. The current status is Watch; this market should stay on watch until confirmed by tempo, shots, or odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378229 | minute: 81