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Italy | Serie A | Juventus - Fiorentina | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 33'   —   Juventus 0:1 Fiorentina
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 5 2 3 1 - 2.42 1.85 1.6 - -
Away 1 0 0 3 1 2 0 - - - 2.3 2 1.52
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.2 3.5 3.2 1.33 1.28 1.61 - - 1.1 7 1.44 2.75 2.3 1.61
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.8% | EV +69.6% | ROI +28.2% | n=124 | k=2.00
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +22.1% | EV +33.7% | ROI +18.1% | n=124 | k=1.52
3) Watch | AWAY | Edge +3.9% | EV +12.4% | ROI +46.8% | n=124 | k=3.20
4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +6.8% | EV +10.9% | ROI +27.0% | n=124 | k=1.61
AI-agent: At the 33rd minute of Juventus vs Fiorentina, the score is 0:1 with the home side more active and applying pressure, confirmed by shot stats. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1 market at odds 2.00, with historical validation showing a 28.2% ROI over 124 matches. The model edge is +34.8% and EV +69.6%, but the entry rule is not triggered due to the current score and game tempo. The current status is Watch, not Bet; this market should stay on watch until further confirmation from tempo, shots, and odds movement.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378229 | minute: 33