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Italy | Serie A | Juventus - Fiorentina | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 40'   —   Juventus 0:1 Fiorentina
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 6 2 4 2 - 2.42 1.85 1.55 - -
Away 1 0 0 3 1 2 0 - - - 2.38 2 1.52
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.1 3.5 3.25 1.33 1.28 1.67 - - 1.1 7 1.44 2.75 2.3 1.61
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.8% | EV +71.7% | ROI +48.6% | n=35 | k=2.00
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +23.3% | EV +35.5% | ROI +26.4% | n=35 | k=1.52
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.5% | EV +12.5% | ROI +9.5% | n=35 | k=1.67
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +4.7% | EV +16.3% | ROI +20.0% | n=35 | k=3.50
AI-agent: At the 40th minute of Juventus vs Fiorentina, the score is 0:1 with the away side gaining market support as the odds on the +1 away handicap dropped 50% from pre-match. Historical validation shows a 48.6% ROI on this handicap over 35 similar games with a 79.3% win rate. The model edge is +35.8% and EV +71.7%, but entry is not confirmed yet given the current score, tempo, and stats. This market should stay on watch, awaiting clearer signals from tempo and shots before placing a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378229 | minute: 40