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Italy | Serie A | Juventus - Fiorentina | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 76'   —   Juventus 0:1 Fiorentina
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 19 7 12 6 - 2.42 3.3 3.1 1.11 -
Away 1 0 0 8 3 5 1 - - 6.4 1.35 1.32 1.52
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.75 2.88 2 1.73 1.36 1.17 - - 1.43 2.75 3 1.38 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.4% | EV +41.8% | ROI +52.5% | n=19 | k=1.52
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.0% | EV +22.6% | ROI +29.1% | n=19 | k=1.32
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.8% | EV +5.2% | ROI +36.2% | n=19 | k=2.88
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.4% | EV -1.9% | ROI +8.6% | n=19 | k=1.38
AI-agent: At the 76th minute of Juventus vs Fiorentina, the score is 0:1 with the visitors leading, while the home side controls the game and leads in shots. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.52, with a model edge of +27.4% and EV +41.8%, supported by historical ROI of +52.5% from 19 matches, though the sample is below the minimum. The current status is Watch, not Bet, because the entry condition based on score and tempo is not met. Further confirmation from tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before placing a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378229 | minute: 76