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Italy | Serie A | Juventus - Fiorentina | 17.05.2026 | 15:00:00 | LIVE 79'   —   Juventus 0:1 Fiorentina
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 19 7 12 6 - 2.42 3.3 3.45 1.12 -
Away 1 0 0 8 3 5 1 - - 6.25 1.3 1.32 1.52
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
5.5 2.88 1.91 1.8 1.36 1.14 - - 1.5 2.5 3.5 1.3 10 1.06
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.4% | EV +41.8% | ROI +52.5% | n=19 | k=1.52
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.2% | EV +22.8% | ROI +29.1% | n=19 | k=1.32
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.5% | EV +4.2% | ROI +51.3% | n=19 | k=2.88
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -4.6% | EV -6.9% | ROI +10.5% | n=19 | k=1.50
AI-agent: At the 79th minute, Fiorentina leads 1-0, while Juventus shows dominance in shots and control in recent minutes. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.52, with strong historical ROI (+52.5%, 19 matches), though the sample is below minimum. The model edge is +27.4% and EV +41.8%, but entry is not confirmed given the current score and tempo. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting further confirmation of home team activity and market pressure shifts.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378229 | minute: 79